Sunrise Mountain Ridge - NWS Alerts Details

Sunrise Mountain Ridge's Links:

Sunrise Mtn Current Page · Sunrise Mtn Ridge History Page · Sunrise Mtn Ridge Forecast/Summary Page

SUNRISE MTN RIDGE'S
7 DAY DETAIL FORECAST FOR TUCSON FOOTHILLS, AZ.

National Weather Service Forecast for: Catalina Foothills, AZ
Issued by: National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona

Updated: 4:18 am MST Nov 01, 2026

Sunrise Mtn Ridge Tucson Az

Today Showers And T-Storms	Monday Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny	Tuesday Sunny	Wednesday Sunny	Thursday Sunny	Friday Mostly Sunny	Saturday Sunny
Hi 73 °F	Hi 71 °F	Hi 77 °F	Hi 77 °F	Hi 77 °F	Hi 76 °F	Hi 76 °F

Tonight Showers And T-Storms	Monday Night Mostly Clear	Tuesday Night Mostly Clear	Wednesday Night Mostly Clear	Thursday Night Partly Cloudy	Friday Night Mostly Clear	Saturday Night Mostly Clear
Lo 54 °F	Lo 47 °F	Lo 51 °F	Lo 50 °F	Lo 51 °F	Lo 51 °F	Lo 50 °F

Flood Watch

Today	Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. High near 73, with temperatures falling to around 67 in the afternoon. South southwest wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Tonight	Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. West wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Monday	A chance of rain showers before 11am. Mostly sunny. High near 71, with temperatures falling to around 67 in the afternoon. West wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday Night	Mostly clear, with a low around 47. North wind around 3 mph.
Tuesday	Sunny, with a high near 77. East northeast wind around 3 mph.
Tuesday Night	Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
Wednesday	Sunny, with a high near 77.
Wednesday Night	Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Thursday	Sunny, with a high near 77.
Thursday Night	Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Friday	Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.
Friday Night	Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
Saturday	Sunny, with a high near 76.
Saturday Night	Mostly clear, with a low around 50.

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Catalina Foothills, AZ.

Tucson, Az - Area Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion for TWC NWS Office

523
FXUS65 KTWC 010844
AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
144 AM MST Sun Nov 1 2026

.SYNOPSIS...Widespread rain for much of the day today into
this evening with a few embedded thunderstorms as a weather system
moves through. Some lingering shower activity will persist into
Monday morning, then drier air moves in for the remainder of the
work week. A Flood Watch is in effect for all of southeast Arizona
through 5 AM Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...The atmospheric river (AR) event continues this
morning across southeast Arizona, aided by a strong subtropical jet
just ahead of a strong upper level trough. Rainfall amounts so far
have overperformed a bit for much of the region with most locales
seeing 0.25" to 1 inch of rain in the last 24 hours. Lesser amounts
have occurred in Cochise County and higher amounts of 2 to 3 inches
have been observed on Mt. Lemmon and Mt. Graham. Latest KEMX radar
imagery shows most locales remaining dry southeast of Tucson with a
solid area of light to moderate rain with localized pockets of heavy
rain from approximately the Tucson area and points north/west. This
precipitation orientation will continue through about mid morning
with the CAMs in good agreement on the precipitation shield mainly
staying from the Tucson area north and westward through about 9 AM.
As the day progresses, a band of moderate rain with pockets of heavy
rain with embedded thunderstorms will shift from west to east across
the region, exiting eastern areas this evening. This band will
produce rainfall rates around 0.25" to 0.50" per hour (locally
higher in any thunderstorms) as it moves through in a 4 to 6 hour
period. For some context, the atmosphere is at record levels of
moisture (1.2" to 1.6" PWAT or 5 to 6 standard deviations above
normal) for this time of year. Thus, the combination of the dynamics
with the subtropical jet max along with moisture levels more
typically seen in summer will continue to result in efficient
rainfall. While the bulk of the precipitation will occur through the
day and into the evening, some localized pockets of moderate rain may
still occur tonight into Monday morning. This will be along a
trailing secondary band of precipitation aided by the upper level
trough across the northern half of Arizona with this band slowly
push south and east, focused on areas north and west of Tucson
tonight.

While there will be potential for some embedded thunderstorms today,
limited instability will be a significant mitigating factor. SPC has
outlined much of our forecast area in a marginal risk (level 1 of 5)
for severe thunderstorms with wind being the main threat as stronger
winds aloft can translate down to the surface in any stronger
thunderstorms. Even outside of thunderstorm activity, breezy
southwest winds are expected today.

Additional most likely rain amounts from 5 AM this morning to 5 AM
Monday continue to range from about 0.3" to 1.2" in valleys with
localized amounts of 2 to 3 inches mainly in valleys north of Tucson
and in the mountains from Tucson northeastward. This additional
precipitation will continue to result in responses in area rivers,
creeks, and washes across SE AZ. See hydrology section below for
further details.

Here is a look at updated additional rainfall ranges from 5 AM
Sunday to 5 AM Monday.

-Expected: Valleys 0.30"-1.2", Mountains 1"-3"

-Low end (9 in 10 chance):
 Valleys 0.10"-1.0", Mountains 0.75"-2"

-High end (1 in 10 chance):
 Valleys 1.2"-2.5", Mountains 3"-4" locally higher

Lingering showers will diminish Monday morning with no significant
rainfall expected. Thereafter, dry conditions as shortwave ridging
builds in. This shortwave ridging will traverse across the regions
Tuesday with dry conditions still continuing beyond Wednesday and
Thursday as westerly flow prevails. Some semblance of troughing
around Friday but still some differences in the ensembles and
moisture is lacking so will keep PoPs below mentionable levels into
next weekend. Temperatures will be 4 to 7 degrees below normal for
most of this week.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 02/12Z.
Expect periods of MVFR cigs at all terminals through 02/02Z with
brief IFR cigs possible especially at KDUG and KOLS. Numerous SHRA
with slight chc -TSRA mainly from KTUS/KOLS westward through about
01/16Z, then that shifts eastward thereafter before exiting eastern
areas around 02/03Z. Additional SCT -SHRA possible mainly north and
west of KTUS tonight through end of valid period. Vis down to 1-2
miles will be possible in SHRA or TSRA today. SFC winds mainly
SELY/SLY 5-10 kts this morning becoming SWLY 12-20 kts and gusts 25-
30 kts after 01/18Z, then gradually diminishing aft 02/06Z. Near
stronger TSRA wind gusts of 30-40 kts will be possible. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms today
into tonight, with some areas of heavy rain. The heaviest rain will
be over the higher terrain. Some lingering shower activity will
persist into Monday morning with dry conditions thereafter.
Afternoon high temperatures will lower below normal through the
forecast period. Breezy to locally windy southwest winds expected
today, turning northwest Monday. Minimum RH levels values into early
next week will be 40+ percent.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Precipitation on Saturday ranged from 0.25" to 1 inch
in the valleys with up to 2 to 3 inches in some mountains and that
is setting the stage for more significant flooding concerns today
through tonight. We`re already seeing some increased flow in quicker
responding washes such as Sabino Creek and more urbanized washes in
the Tucson Metro (such as Alamo Wash) with the rain that moved
through last night. As another round of moderate to heavy rain moves
through today into this evening, that will continue to further
exacerbate flooding concerns with a more rapid and potentially more
impactful response in the area rivers, creeks and washes. There is
the potential for significant rises on the San Francisco River, Blue
River, Gila River, Eagle Creek, and Sabino Creek with anywhere from
Minor to Major flood stages possible.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through late tonight for AZZ501>515.

&&

$$

Visit us on Facebook, X, YouTube, and at weather.gov/Tucson

NWS TWC Office Area Forecast Discussion

Local & Regional Weather Statements, Watches And Warnings

Weather Alerts for Maricopa County

Issued by the National Weather Service

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
MARICOPA COUNTY
Areas Affected: Gila, AZ - Maricopa, AZ
Effective: Sun, 11/1 7:26am	Updated: Sun, 11/1 9:24am	Urgency: Immediate
Expires: Sun, 11/1 10:30am	Severity: Severe	Certainty: Likely

Details: FFWPSR The National Weather Service in Phoenix has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Gila County in east central Arizona... Maricopa County in south central Arizona... * Until 1030 AM MST. * At 726 AM MST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 0.5 and 1 inch of rain has fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Rio Verde. Information: Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded roads. Find an alternate route.

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
MARICOPA COUNTY
Areas Affected: Gila, AZ - Maricopa, AZ
Effective: Sun, 11/1 9:10am	Updated: Sun, 11/1 9:24am	Urgency: Immediate
Expires: Sun, 11/1 12:15pm	Severity: Severe	Certainty: Likely

Details: FFWPSR The National Weather Service in Phoenix has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Gila County in east central Arizona... Maricopa County in south central Arizona... * Until 1215 PM MST. * At 910 AM MST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 0.5 and 1.25 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.25 to 0.5 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Four Peaks, Canyon Lake, Saguaro Lake and Tonto Basin. Information: Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded roads. Find an alternate route.

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
MARICOPA COUNTY
Areas Affected: Maricopa, AZ - Pinal, AZ
Effective: Sun, 11/1 8:12am	Updated: Sun, 11/1 9:24am	Urgency: Immediate
Expires: Sun, 11/1 11:15am	Severity: Severe	Certainty: Likely

Details: FFWPSR The National Weather Service in Phoenix has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Maricopa County in south central Arizona... Pinal County in southeastern Arizona... * Until 1115 AM MST. * At 812 AM MST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 0.5 and 1.25 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.25 to 0.5 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Queen Valley. Information: Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
MARICOPA COUNTY
Areas Affected: Gila, AZ - Maricopa, AZ
Effective: Sun, 11/1 8:14am	Updated: Sun, 11/1 9:24am	Urgency: Immediate
Expires: Sun, 11/1 11:15am	Severity: Severe	Certainty: Likely

Details: FFWPSR The National Weather Service in Phoenix has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Gila County in east central Arizona... Maricopa County in south central Arizona... * Until 1115 AM MST. * At 814 AM MST, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated heavy rain falling across the warned area. Between 0.75 and 1.25 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 1 inch are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Round Valley, Ballantine Trailhead, Sunflower, Sugarloaf Mountain, Sycamore Creek, Punkin Center, Tonto Basin and Goldfield Ranch. Information: Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads. Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or creeks.

FLOOD WARNING
MARICOPA COUNTY
Areas Affected: Maricopa, AZ
Effective: Sun, 11/1 8:00am	Updated: Sun, 11/1 9:24am	Urgency: Expected
Expires: Sun, 11/1 2:00pm	Severity: Severe	Certainty: Likely

Details: * WHAT...Small stream flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected. * WHERE...Maricopa County in south central Arizona... * WHEN...Until 200 PM MST. * IMPACTS...Flooding of the New River system and other low-lying and flood-prone locations is imminent or occurring. Streams continue to rise due to excess runoff from earlier rainfall. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 800 AM MST, streamflow gauge reports on New River were above alarm stages. Flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly in the warned area. - Some locations that will experience flooding include... New River. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood Information: Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads. Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or creeks.

FLOOD WARNING
MARICOPA COUNTY
Areas Affected: Maricopa, AZ
Effective: Sun, 11/1 7:42am	Updated: Sun, 11/1 9:24am	Urgency: Expected
Expires: Sun, 11/1 1:45pm	Severity: Severe	Certainty: Likely

Details: * WHAT...Small stream flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected. * WHERE...Maricopa County in south central Arizona... * WHEN...Until 145 PM MST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Flooding of rivers, washes, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations is imminent or occurring. Low-water crossings are inundated with water and may not be passable. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 741 AM MST, Gauge reports indicated heavy rainfall leading to increased flow in area washes. Flooding is already occurring in the warned area. Between 0.5 and 1 inch of rain has fallen. - Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are possible in the warned area. - Some locations that will experience flooding include... Cave Creek, Carefree, Desert Mountain, Camp Creek and Seven Springs. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood Information: Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or creeks.

FLOOD WARNING
MARICOPA COUNTY
Areas Affected: Maricopa, AZ
Effective: Sun, 11/1 6:28am	Updated: Sun, 11/1 9:24am	Urgency: Immediate
Expires: Mon, 11/2 8:00am	Severity: Severe	Certainty: Likely

Details: * WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall and upstream dam release continues. * WHERE...Maricopa County in south central Arizona... * WHEN...Until 800 AM MST Monday. * IMPACTS...Flooding of the Verde River between Bartlett Lake and the Salt River is occurring. Flooding of low water crossings across the Verde River is imminent or occurring and recreation on the Verde River may be unsafe. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 628 AM MST, a USGS gauge on the Verde River, just north of where it meets the Salt River, measured a stage of 7.98 ft and a flow of 3420 cfs. - Some locations that will experience flooding include... Rio Verde and Fort McDowell. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood Information: Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or creeks.

FLOOD WARNING
MARICOPA COUNTY
Areas Affected: Maricopa, AZ
Effective: Sun, 11/1 5:54am	Updated: Sun, 11/1 9:24am	Urgency: Immediate
Expires: Mon, 11/2 7:45am	Severity: Severe	Certainty: Likely

Details: * WHAT...Flooding caused by upstream dam release continues. * WHERE...Maricopa County in south central Arizona... * WHEN...Until 745 AM MST Monday. * IMPACTS...Flooding of the Salt River below Granite Reef Dam is imminent or occurring. Flooding of low water crossings across the Salt River upstream of Tempe Town Lake, including McKellips Road, is imminent or occurring. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 549 AM MST, SRP was releasing 2453 cfs from Granite Reef Dam. - Flooding is occurring along the Salt River. - Some locations that will experience flooding include... Salt River between Granite Reef Dam and Tempe Town Lake. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood Information: Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads. Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or creeks.

FLOOD WATCH
MARICOPA COUNTY
Areas Affected: New River Mesa - Rio Verde/Salt River - Superior - Tonto Basin - Mazatzal Mountains - Pinal/Superstition Mountains - San Carlos - Dripping Springs - Globe/Miami - Southeast Gila County
Effective: Sun, 11/1 12:41am	Updated: Sun, 11/1 9:24am	Urgency: Future
Expires: Sun, 11/1 3:00pm	Severity: Severe	Certainty: Possible

Details: * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible. * WHERE...A portion of south central Arizona, including mainly Southern Gila County. * WHEN...Through late tonight. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Low-water crossings may be flooded. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - An atmospheric river ahead of a weather system will continue to bring well above normal moisture to the region through today and lead to a prolonged period of light to moderate rainfall across the Watch area. Embedded convection will produce pockets of heavier rain. Additional rainfall amounts, on the order of 2-4+", through the course of Sunday on top of already moist soils, will lead to additional runoff. Runoff in major streams, creeks, and rivers may persist through the first half of the week. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood Information: You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

FLOOD WATCH
MARICOPA COUNTY
Areas Affected: Aguila Valley - Northwest Valley - Tonopah Desert - Gila Bend - Buckeye/Avondale - Cave Creek/New River - Deer Valley - Central Phoenix - North Phoenix/Glendale - Scottsdale/Paradise Valley - East Valley - Fountain Hills/East Mesa - South Mountain/Ahwatukee - Southeast Valley/Queen Creek - Northwest Pinal County - West Pinal County - Apache Junction/Gold Canyon - Sonoran Desert Natl Monument
Effective: Sun, 11/1 12:41am	Updated: Sun, 11/1 9:24am	Urgency: Future
Expires: Sun, 11/1 3:00pm	Severity: Severe	Certainty: Possible

Details: * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible. * WHERE...A portion of south central Arizona, including the following areas, Phoenix Metro, rural areas of Maricopa County, and Northwest Pinal County. * WHEN...Through late tonight. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Low-water crossings may be flooded. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - An atmospheric river ahead of a weather system will continue to bring well above normal moisture to the region through today and lead to a prolonged period of light to moderate rainfall across the Watch area. Embedded convection will produce pockets of heavier rain. Additional rainfall amounts, on the order of 1-2", through the course of Sunday on top of already moist soils, will lead to additional runoff. Runoff in major streams, creeks, and rivers may persist through the first half of the week. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood Information: You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Key to Icons for Local & Regional Weather Statements, Watches And Warnings
Map of the Current Watches, Warnings, and Advisories Nationwide:

Copyright © 2006 - 2024, Sunrise Mountain Ridge Weather - All rights reserved .
Unauthorized duplication or distribution is prohibited
Powered By: | WeatherLink 5.71 |
Site Template Designed by: Pali Plumies Designs

Disclaimer:
Never base important decisions on this or any weather information obtained from the Internet.

Sunrise Mountain Ridge Tucson, Arizona

Sunrise Mountain Ridge - Severe Weather Alerts Details Page

Sunrise Mountain Ridge's Links:

SUNRISE MTN RIDGE'S
7 DAY DETAIL FORECAST FOR TUCSON FOOTHILLS, AZ.

Tucson, Az - Area Forecast Discussion

Local & Regional Weather Statements, Watches And Warnings

Weather Alerts for Maricopa County

Key to Icons for Local & Regional Weather Statements, Watches And Warnings

Map of the Current Watches, Warnings, and Advisories Nationwide:

Sunrise Mountain Ridge Tucson, Arizona

Sunrise Mountain Ridge - Severe Weather Alerts Details Page

Sunrise Mountain Ridge's Links:

SUNRISE MTN RIDGE'S 7 DAY DETAIL FORECAST FOR TUCSON FOOTHILLS, AZ.

Tucson, Az - Area Forecast Discussion

Local & Regional Weather Statements, Watches And Warnings

Weather Alerts for Maricopa County

Key to Icons for Local & Regional Weather Statements, Watches And Warnings

Map of the Current Watches, Warnings, and Advisories Nationwide:

SUNRISE MTN RIDGE'S
7 DAY DETAIL FORECAST FOR TUCSON FOOTHILLS, AZ.